In this file:

 

?/span>         Commodity super cycle won抰 last long, ag economist says

Look for the 15 good problems that show your business is running well.

 

?/span>         Food inflation likely to get worse

Meat is poised to become a driver of global food inflation.

 

?span style='font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"'>         Rising Costs Pushing Meat Producer Prices higher

?Livestock farmers are getting hit with the highest corn and soybean prices in seven years, raising the cost of feeding their herds by 30% or more?

 

 

Commodity super cycle won抰 last long, ag economist says

Look for the 15 good problems that show your business is running well.

 

Chris Torres, FarmProgress

Feb 16, 2021

 

With the COVID-19 pandemic still raging, lots of volatility in the corn and soybean markets, and surplus dairy production threatening milk prices, ag economist David Kohl says good farm management is more important than ever.

 

And while the pandemic has created hardships, it抯 a great time to take advantage of opportunities, and separate the things you can control from the things you can抰 control.

 

揧ou抮e going to have to be flexible, innovative and adaptive, but you抣l also have to focus,?Kohl said during his keynote address at the virtual Pennsylvania Dairy Summit.

 

There have only been a handful of great commodity super cycles, Kohl says, and we抮e in the middle of one right now, which he calls the 揼overnment and central bank super cycle.?/p>

 

The government stimulus checks, devaluation of the dollar, the effects of climate change in certain areas and low interest rates are bringing investors back into commodities, he says. Not to mention, China is still recovering from African swine fever and is rebuilding its hog herd.

 

But unlike the super cycle of the early 2010s when corn and soybean prices hit the stratosphere for a couple of years, Kohl doesn抰 see this super cycle lasting very long. Government stimulus will eventually end, and commodity demand, especially from China, likely will cool down.

 

揙ne thing, it抯 false, but it抯 impacting grain,?he says. 揑 see this abating in 2021-22, but a strategy is needed post cycle.?/p>

 

Things to watch for ...

 

Manage for uncertainty ...

 

Signs that you抮e doing well ...

 

more

https://www.farmprogress.com/management/commodity-super-cycle-wont-last-long-ag-economist-says

 

 

Food inflation likely to get worse

Meat is poised to become a driver of global food inflation.

 

By Michael Hirtzer, Megan Durisin and Tatiana Freitas, Bloomberg

via BEEF Magazine - Feb 16, 2021

 

There are signs that the food inflation that抯 gripped the world over the past year, raising prices of everything from shredded cheese to peanut butter, is about to get worse.

 

The COVID-19 pandemic upended food supply chains, paralyzing shipping, sickening workers that keep the world fed and ultimately raising consumer grocery costs around the globe last year. Now farmers -- especially ones raising cattle, hogs and poultry -- are getting squeezed by the highest corn and soybean prices in seven years. It抯 lifted the costs of feeding their herds by 30% or more. To stay profitable, producers including Tyson Foods Inc. are increasing prices, which will ripple through supply chains and show up in the coming months as higher price tags for beef, pork and chicken around the world.

 

Feed prices 揼o up and down, and you tend to take the rough with the smooth,?said Mark Gorton, managing director at the British chicken and turkey producer Traditional Norfolk Poultry. 揃ut when it rallies as much as it has, it starts to impact massively on the business.?/p>

 

The last time grains were this expensive was after the U.S. drought of 2012, and meat prices saw a dramatic run-up. Now, meat is again poised to become a driver of global food inflation, and part of the intensifying debate over the path of overall inflation and exactly what central banks and policymakers should do to aid economies still working to recover from the pandemic.

 

Vaccinations promising...

 

Shrinking herds ...

 

more

https://www.beefmagazine.com/beef/food-inflation-likely-get-worse

 

 

Rising Costs Pushing Meat Producer Prices higher

 

Victoria Campisi, The Food Institute

Feb 16, 2021

 

The world will soon pay more for meat as food inflation deepens.

 

Livestock farmers are getting hit with the highest corn and soybean prices in seven years, raising the cost of feeding their herds by 30% or more. To stay profitable, producers ?including the biggest U.S. meat producer Tyson Foods Inc. ?are increasing prices, reported Bloomberg (Feb. 16)

 

ISSUES FACED BY SUPPLIERS

 

Producers across major exporting countries are feeling the effects of higher grain costs. In Brazil, the biggest poultry shipper, the cost of raising chickens jumped 39% last year due to higher feed costs, according to Embrapa, an agricultural research agency. Costs rose again last month by around 6%, Itau BBA said.

 

For Tyson, higher feed and freight costs will likely impact the company抯 fiscal 2021 outlook, reported Food Business News (Feb. 12). Since October, the March futures contracts for corn and soybeans have risen 40% and 34%, respectively and Tyson is projecting refrigerated freight contract rates will be 10% more than 2020...

 

more

https://foodinstitute.com/focus/rising-costs-pushing-meat-producer-prices-higher/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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